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Title: The World In 2030
Author: Future Agenda | https://www.futureagenda.org
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https://www.futureagenda.org/the-world-in-2030
The World In 2030
The World In 2030
The World In 2030
Better Batteries
Better Batteries
New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options…
New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options…
New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options and become viable options for use across multiple sectors. Competitive…
New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options and become viable options for use across multiple sectors. Competitive pricing and proactive policymaking accelerate global uptake. Context Battery development…
New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options and become viable options for use across multiple sectors. Competitive pricing and proactive policymaking accelerate global uptake. Context Battery development has become a priority area for a broadening range of…
Read moreBroader Decision Making
Broader Decision Making
As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are…
As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are…
As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are themselves expanding and fragmenting. New approaches to broader decision-making gain…
As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are themselves expanding and fragmenting. New approaches to broader decision-making gain traction. Context It is increasingly apparent that the big…
As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are themselves expanding and fragmenting. New approaches to broader decision-making gain traction. Context It is increasingly apparent that the big complex decisions for tomorrow are global, or at least multi-regional…
Read moreData Provenance
Data Provenance
Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic…
Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic…
Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic and commercial activity, technology is exploding the scale and scope…
Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic and commercial activity, technology is exploding the scale and scope of the inauthentic. Demonstrating data provenance becomes a prerequisite to…
Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic and commercial activity, technology is exploding the scale and scope of the inauthentic. Demonstrating data provenance becomes a prerequisite to operate. The exponential growth of data and internet of things…
Read moreData Taxation
Data Taxation
Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down…
Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down…
Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down where multinationals make money and where they pay tax. Regulators…
Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down where multinationals make money and where they pay tax. Regulators use new taxes to ensure organisations are more accountable for…
Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down where multinationals make money and where they pay tax. Regulators use new taxes to ensure organisations are more accountable for the data they own or access. Adam Smith said that…
Read moreElectric Aviation
Electric Aviation
As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes…
As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes…
As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes for short and medium-haul flights gathers support. Although some technological…
As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes for short and medium-haul flights gathers support. Although some technological challenges are significant, investment and regulation align to accelerate development.…
As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes for short and medium-haul flights gathers support. Although some technological challenges are significant, investment and regulation align to accelerate development. A growth in the use of electric planes has the…
Read moreFuture of Work
Future of Work
The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly…
The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly…
The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly ageing population and climate change are revolutionising how and where…
The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly ageing population and climate change are revolutionising how and where we work. For some this offers unparalleled opportunity, bringing stability,…
The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly ageing population and climate change are revolutionising how and where we work. For some this offers unparalleled opportunity, bringing stability, opportunity and a sense of purpose where previously there was…
Read moreHidden Organisations of Influence
Hidden Organisations of Influence
The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are…
The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are…
The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are able to undertake surveillance, steer agendas and shape government policy…
The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are able to undertake surveillance, steer agendas and shape government policy has wider impact. Context In theory it has never…
The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are able to undertake surveillance, steer agendas and shape government policy has wider impact. Context In theory it has never been so difficult to remain below the radar. 24/7 news,…
Read moreHospitals of the Future
Hospitals of the Future
As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and…
As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and…
As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and early prevention, there will be more change in hospitals by…
As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and early prevention, there will be more change in hospitals by 2030 than has occurred in the last 30 years. Context…
As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and early prevention, there will be more change in hospitals by 2030 than has occurred in the last 30 years. Context As healthcare needs and systems around the world evolve,…
Read moreMigrating Diseases
Migrating Diseases
With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health…
With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health…
With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems struggle to address the growing impact of climate change.…
With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems struggle to address the growing impact of climate change. The increased spread of vector-borne diseases joins poor air quality…
With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems struggle to address the growing impact of climate change. The increased spread of vector-borne diseases joins poor air quality as a major public health threat. Although smoke from…
Read moreMoving Water
Moving Water
While some regions gain from better water management, much of…
While some regions gain from better water management, much of…
While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one…
While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one river basin to another. New options are explored to achieve…
While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one river basin to another. New options are explored to achieve this economically and with reduced socio-environmental damage. CONTEXT Since…
Read morePeak Soil
Peak Soil
Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from…
Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from…
Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of…
Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of its degradation raises the significance of soil to equal that…
Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of its degradation raises the significance of soil to equal that of climate change and biodiversity loss. The Problem We know…
Read morePorous Organisations
Porous Organisations
Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and…
Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and…
Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and permeable: Building, maintaining and retaining corporate know-how is a pivotal…
Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and permeable: Building, maintaining and retaining corporate know-how is a pivotal challenge but so is attracting and curating flexible, independent workers.…
Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and permeable: Building, maintaining and retaining corporate know-how is a pivotal challenge but so is attracting and curating flexible, independent workers. In 2015 we wrote about the scramble for talent…
Read moreProof of Immunity and the Demise of Privacy
Proof of Immunity and the Demise of Privacy
Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments…
Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments…
Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments integrate immunity and health data with national identities facilitated by…
Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments integrate immunity and health data with national identities facilitated by digital identity platforms. Insufficient regulatory control risks the possibility of…
Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments integrate immunity and health data with national identities facilitated by digital identity platforms. Insufficient regulatory control risks the possibility of pervasive and invasive surveillance. Context In recent years there has…
Read moreRestoring Earth
Restoring Earth
Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent…
Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent…
Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent the spiral towards catastrophic climate change and the continued collapse…
Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent the spiral towards catastrophic climate change and the continued collapse of biodiversity. As reality bites so does the pressure for…
Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent the spiral towards catastrophic climate change and the continued collapse of biodiversity. As reality bites so does the pressure for collective action to dramatically evolve politics, business and consumption. …
Read moreThe UK in 2030
The UK in 2030
A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the…
A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the…
A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the challenges of more inequality and devolution but leading in several key areas…
A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the challenges of more inequality and devolution but leading in several key areas Looking Ahead At a time when there is much…
A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the challenges of more inequality and devolution but leading in several key areas Looking Ahead At a time when there is much speculation on what the next twelve months may bring, some…
Read moreFuture of autonomous vehicles initial perspective
Future of autonomous vehicles initial perspective
Read moreFuture of digital identity initial perspective
Future of digital identity initial perspective
Read moreFuture of Digital Identity Programme summary
Future of Digital Identity Programme summary
Read moreFuture of value of data interim summary spanish 2018 esp
Future of value of data interim summary spanish 2018 esp
Read moreLa Valeur Future Des Données – PROJET DE RÉSUMÉ 15…
La Valeur Future Des Données – PROJET DE RÉSUMÉ 15 Dec 2018
Read moreAssertion of My Digital Rights
Assertion of My Digital Rights
A DI Bill of Rights is already demanded by many. How this is built, by who, what it includes, and critically, how it is enforced, will be hotly contested.
Read moreAttributes not Digital ID
Attributes not Digital ID
Users give permission for a third party to access the appropriate attribute mix required to complete a given exchange. ID may/may not feature.
Read moreNo $src - check ACF image is defined.
Automated Freight
Automated Freight
The significant automation of expressway trucks is of huge commercial interest. It will transform long-haul journeys and so is the principal focus for regulation and trials across all levels of AV.
Read moreBalanced Proof of Identification
Balanced Proof of Identification
Digital users become more demanding about ensuring they ‘get as well as they give’ with regard to verification of those whom they choose to engage.
Read moreBenefits of Catastrophe
Benefits of Catastrophe
Digital ID catastrophe is almost inevitable, but will be a stimulus to drive positive changes in awareness of secure identity and authentication.
Read moreBlocs Lead the Way to Interoperability
Blocs Lead the Way to Interoperability
Blocs of friendly states lead interoperability through government issued digital IDs that are recognised across international borders.
Read moreBlueprint for Success
Blueprint for Success
Global financial transactions and payments infrastructures will provide us with the ‘blueprint’ for building a truly interoperable Digital ID system.
Read moreCentralised or Distributed Digital Identity Systems?
Centralised or Distributed Digital Identity Systems?
Distributed implementation removes concerns of trust in single entities. Centralised systems bring uptake and interoperability. Nation states decide.
Read moreCompeting Interest Areas
Competing Interest Areas
A battle for ‘ownership’ of the identity space grows, highlighting ideologies: e.g. social good, economic opportunity, privacy, national security, social order.
Read moreControlled Environments
Controlled Environments
Controlled environments have demonstrated the early steps for AV and are growing steadily. Airports, port terminals, factories, mines and even dedicated highways all provide safe areas for development.
Read moreConvenience Rules
Convenience Rules
Continuing consumer appetite for convenience drives development of Digital ID, especially as many processes requiring formal ID feel so old-fashioned today.
Read moreCost Reduction
Cost Reduction
Digital ID enables service providers to reduce their transaction costs and accelerate the pace of innovation, both for them and for wider society.
Read moreCyber Security
Cyber Security
With the threat of hacks, denial of service, vandalism and theft of data, organisations seek to make AV more secure through adopting common approaches for closed, collaborative systems.
Read moreData Dividend
Data Dividend
Providing a data dividend paid to all citizens would mean that they are remunerated by companies for the use of their data. It could also encourage more personal data sharing and even help set standards for IoT data.
Read moreData IP Attribution
Data IP Attribution
Digital IDs enable the tracing of contribution of individual ‘chunks’ of data in data-driven services, allowing for all contributors to be fairly recompensed.
Read moreData Provenance
Data Provenance
Digital ID enables provenance of all ‘owned data’ including data provided by, say, passive sensors in cars, much of which may not be personal at all.
Read moreData Sharing
Data Sharing
More and deeper data sharing are pivotal in enabling the AV ambition. Mobility brands eventually agree the protocols for V2X interaction and so support the use of open data sets.
Read moreData-less business models
Data-less business models
Innovations allow users to give access to data without sharing it. New models centre on positive, privacy-preserving, consumer propositions.
Read moreDigital Citizenship
Digital Citizenship
Digital IDs issued at birth and/or multi-lateral and global bodies issuing and protecting Digital ID gives greater meaning and usefulness to them.
Read moreDigital ID Accountability
Digital ID Accountability
Clear accountability and strong punishments emerge in response to Digital ID misuse, reputation damage and a need for good data stewardship.
Read moreDigital ID as a Fundamental Human Right
Digital ID as a Fundamental Human Right
Digital Identity becomes a fundamental human right. Governments ensure both access and equity for all, while business is made to respect this right.
Read moreDigital ID as Belonging
Digital ID as Belonging
Just as individuals identify with others (e.g. location, faith, custom), so it is in the digital space. Cultural and social sensitivities remain key.
Read moreDigital ID as Qualifications Wallet
Digital ID as Qualifications Wallet
Digital ID enables decentralized, or even non-university, qualification acquisition and presentation given growth in online, skills-based education.
Read moreDigital ID Federations
Digital ID Federations
As with airline alliances (e.g. Star Alliance), Digital ID Federations form linking together Attribute Suppliers and Digital ID Providers.
Read moreDigital ID for Good
Digital ID for Good
Digital ID is used as a problem-solving tool – e.g. tracking personal carbon footprints. But is it a doorway to unintended social monitoring?
Read moreDigital ID Platforms
Digital ID Platforms
Brokers emerge to help individuals easily manage their use of multiple ID’s, profiles and attributes across different contexts.
Read moreDigital Identity – The First Wave
Digital Identity – The First Wave
Early adopters will include those who need to become familiar with Digital ID in order to access basic (digitally adapting) government services.
Read moreDigital Identity Literacy
Digital Identity Literacy
A wholesale move toward Digital ID will require it’s own programme of education to teach people how to maintain and keep safe their Digital ID.
Read moreDigital Revenues Tax
Digital Revenues Tax
The EU has proposed a digital service tax of 3% on the income from all commercial activities. This will give countries the rights to tax the largest companies based on a proportion of their global sales.
Read moreDigital Rights Management
Digital Rights Management
Digital ID provides the vehicle for managing digital rights – when to be anonymous, when to be seen, when its ok to be monitored, etc.
Read moreDrones for Goods and People
Drones for Goods and People
Investment in timely drone delivery services accelerates deployment in several locations, but the roll-out of air-taxis may not be as widespread as many hope. Large scale impact is limited.
Read moreEnhanced Cyber Security
Enhanced Cyber Security
Strong and secure systems of digital identification will play a significant role in enhancing cyber security for individuals, organisations and states.
Read moreEnvironmental and Social Impact
Environmental and Social Impact
Ensuring that autonomous vehicles are cleaner than alternative options may be a pre-requisite in many cities while the benefit of AVs for wider society is a crucial issue for wider endorsement.
Read moreErosion of Agency
Erosion of Agency
Consumer comfort in outsourcing agency to ‘things’ drives a rich market of data driven technology deciding for us. Erosion of human agency results.
Read moreEthics by Design
Ethics by Design
Sensitivity of Digital ID data, and the potential for catastrophic or malign mis-use, drives ‘ethical by design’ standards that go beyond compliance.
Read moreExpanding Roles
Expanding Roles
Roles/responsibilities in Digital ID systems grow from today’s verifiers and trust partners to legal guardians, delegated authorities, AI brokers, etc.
Read moreFinders Keepers, Losers Weepers
Finders Keepers, Losers Weepers
Highly centralised Digital ID systems, provide potential for identity ‘keepers’ to hold vast amounts of user data across myriad different contexts.
Read moreFirst / Last Mile
First / Last Mile
Improving the inefficient first/last mile is a major opportunity with health, energy, and efficiency benefits. Scooters, bikes, and small autonomous robots in urban environments, all play a part.
Read moreFrom Tech to Society
From Tech to Society
Today Digital ID is a tech challenge. Pressure increases for it to be managed as a social challenge with tech held accountable for decisions made today.
Read moreHyper Accurate Advertising
Hyper Accurate Advertising
Users practiced in social media’s ‘data for advertising’ model, consent to sharing their ID for this purpose, resulting in hyper accurate advertising.
Read moreIdentity Victims
Identity Victims
History is littered with horrific examples of the consequences of formally assigning identity markers (race, religion etc.). Digital ID will be no different.
Read moreImmortal ID
Immortal ID
Immortal IDs form - the sum of our digital histories and a collection of all digital attributes. But who owns and controls them? Under what consent?
Read moreImpact of Regulation
Impact of Regulation
The regions that gain most initially will be those where there is advanced regulation to act as a catalyst for AV deployment. Addressing information sharing, collaboration, and liability are critical.
Read moreImplementation Matters
Implementation Matters
Poor implementations will lead to massive data breaches, damaging faith in Digital ID service providers, or even the Digital ID concept as a whole.
Read moreIncreased Accountability
Increased Accountability
Digital ID increases accountability in public online spaces, where online behaviours can be traced back to offline identities.
Read moreInfluence of Scale
Influence of Scale
China’s super apps and India’s IndiaStack are already expanding into, and influencing, other geographies. Digital ID tech will ‘follow the money’.
Read moreInitial Users
Initial Users
Although AVs may have significant benefit for those without access to affordable mobility – especially the young, elderly and disabled – from the start autonomy has to be attractive for all users.
Read moreInvisible Identity Experience
Invisible Identity Experience
Digital ID will cease to be a concern to end users as it becomes more or less invisible, outsourced and part of our daily lives.
Read moreIoT Leads IoP
IoT Leads IoP
Commercial use cases for ‘things’ creates identity and attribute frameworks and infrastructure for objects. These are then applied to people.
Read moreLess Congestion
Less Congestion
Decreasing congestion on the roads is a core ambition for AV advocates but many recognise that, with mixed fleets operating for several years, we many initially see an increase in urban traffic.
Read moreLess Traffic – Less Road – Less Parking
Less Traffic – Less Road – Less Parking
Effective deployment of AVs as part of integrated public transport systems may mean not only fewer vehicles on the roads, but also parking spaces can be removed and roads can become narrower.
Read moreLocal Digital Citizenship
Local Digital Citizenship
Distrust of surveillance and distant institutions leads to hyper-local identity and authentication by the people we know and communities we live in.
Read moreManagement of Digital ID Rights
Management of Digital ID Rights
As Digital ID becomes part of society’s critical infrastructure, rules emerge on how access rights can be given, taken away, redressed and restored.
Read moreMany Internets
Many Internets
Lacking a single global solution, the internet splits into different realms: e.g. Open-Internet, Dark Internet and Internet Islands (local Digital ID systems).
Read moreMe, Myself and I
Me, Myself and I
Digital ID users maintain deliberately separated identities and attribute stores. Providers offer context-based, Digital-ID-as-a-service solutions.
Read moreMerging of Identity and ID
Merging of Identity and ID
As ID management and attribute systems collect more detailed digital user histories, our Identity and ID will merge, with unknowable consequences.
Read moreNew Biometric Fingerprints
New Biometric Fingerprints
New identity markers, including our ‘routines’, prove useful in detecting fraud, especially where AI sees changes in behavioural patterns.
Read moreNew Digital ID markets
New Digital ID markets
Digital ID has the potential to play a critical role in social and economic life. A new range of economic opportunities and markets will emerge around it.
Read moreNull-attributes
Null-attributes
Identity attributes, currently understood as unique (e.g. fingerprint) become unusable or ‘null’ as they are exposed in continued breaches.
Read moreOffsetting Unintended Consequences
Offsetting Unintended Consequences
Specialist thinking emerges, particularly sociological, around the potential unintended consequences of rapid deployment and adoption of Digital ID.
Read morePersonal Gatekeeping
Personal Gatekeeping
Consent management systems and platforms emerge to help individuals more easily ‘trust in an otherwise trustless system (of machines)’
Read morePersonalised, Controlled Exchanges
Personalised, Controlled Exchanges
Digital ID gives people greater control over access to their personal data, and encourages transparency of service-providers in onward use.
Read moreProxy Digital IDs
Proxy Digital IDs
As the pool of Personally Identifiable Information continues to grow, the need for Digital Identity reduces. Algorithms win the race for identity.
Read morePublic Transport Systems
Public Transport Systems
As autonomous buses are introduced, other mobility solutions will also have to be used to fill transportation gaps. Security, flexibility, reach and interconnectivity are primary criteria.
Read moreRe-evaluation of Cyber-risk
Re-evaluation of Cyber-risk
Breaches to digital ID systems have the potential to cause catastrophic damage. Organisations will radically re-evaluate their investment to mitigate it.
Read moreRegulation on the Fly
Regulation on the Fly
Digital ID will land and expand very quickly. Regulators will be faced with the task of ‘building the aeroplane whilst flying it’.
Read moreRemote Support Centres
Remote Support Centres
Manned call centres provide oversight, support and emergency response for all AVs. In the absence of drivers, most public transport vehicles require remote human supervision.
Read moreResistance to Sharing
Resistance to Sharing
As many people value their personal space, support for a significant rise in ride-sharing may not be as high as some predict. Rethinking vehicle design for strangers travelling together is a priority.
Read moreRethinking Transport Planning
Rethinking Transport Planning
For AV to have impact it may be necessary to rethink a more flexible approach to planning. Poor coordination between transit systems, urban planning and future solutions may delay the benefits.
Read moreRight to be Forgotten
Right to be Forgotten
For some, feeling ‘forced’ to control their own data and profiles is unwelcome. The right to be forgotten remains a key design principle.
Read moreRobo-Taxi Fleets
Robo-Taxi Fleets
Robo-taxis are increasingly seen as the way forward for passenger vehicles and could change both travel patterns and car ownership decisions. They are a core part of ‘Mobility as a Service’ offers.
Read moreRobust Authentication Equals Trust
Robust Authentication Equals Trust
Strong authentication processes will be the key factor in determining overall levels of trust in the reliability and security of a given Digital ID system.
Read moreSecure Access without Disclosure
Secure Access without Disclosure
Driven by increased consumer awareness of continuing misuse, transacting while giving minimal (or no) information gains momentum.
Read moreSelf-sovereign ID
Self-sovereign ID
Calls for self-sovereign digital ID - or the ‘controlled sharing’ principles on which it is based - are likely to increase, as are attempts to build it.
Read moreSetting the Standards
Setting the Standards
First-movers will develop standards for basis of global Digital ID systems. Consumers and governments decide the winners (e.g. Betamax vs VHS).
Read moreSocial Scoring
Social Scoring
Digital ID attributes enable monitoring of, ‘good behaviour’, e.g., carbon footprint tracking. In the hands of some, this evolves into social scoring.
Read moreSomething Owned, Something Known, Something You
Something Owned, Something Known, Something You
Authentication typically features something you own, you know and you are. Innovating unique attributes leads to new ways of thinking about who we are.
Read moreStateless Netizens
Stateless Netizens
Digital ID for some (e.g. displaced peoples) becomes more important than citizenship, leading to societal groups based on new, shared attributes.
Read moreSuper-surveillance
Super-surveillance
Digital ID’s highly accurate and relatively clean surveillance data, will lead to mass surveillance in some states and market economies.
Read moreTaxing Data Value
Taxing Data Value
If a value can be put on every organisation’s data then, as well as opening the door to multiple new innovation opportunities for the companies involved, it can also help progress the way regulators can act.
Read moreThe Big Fake
The Big Fake
Fake Digital IDs, unlike fake passports, have the potential to be used in many contexts at the same time, scaling up the consequences involved.
Read moreThe Case for Digital Inclusion
The Case for Digital Inclusion
Digital ID systems will go some way towards addressing access and exclusion issues of the 1 billion+ people lacking legal identity documents.
Read moreThe Cost of Convenience
The Cost of Convenience
Convenience remains as a core driver, but with the cost of teaching poor behaviours, e.g., learning laziness, path of least resistance, etc.
Read moreThe Un-Digital
The Un-Digital
With the arrival of Digital ID rights comes the inalienable right to be non-digital, and the need to serve the ‘Digital Amish’ who choose to opt out.
Read moreTransparent Exchange
Transparent Exchange
Digital ID drives transparency in the value exchange between consumers and services, curtailing current ’surveillance capitalism’ business models.
Read moreTrust Cocktails
Trust Cocktails
As ‘things’ are given Digital IDs, people are no longer certain of who or what they are trusting - app, service, device or person - or if they should care.
Read moreUnified Digital ID Ethical Principles
Unified Digital ID Ethical Principles
Digital ID ethical principles mirror the Bio-ethical path of AI development: Beneficence, Non‑maleficence, Autonomy and Justice (and Explicability).
Read moreValue, not Identity
Value, not Identity
Consumers are only motivated to adopt Digital Identity through compelling use cases that deliver tangible value to them (e.g. time or cost saving).
Read more2020: Review of Future Agenda Foresight
2020: Review of Future Agenda Foresight
At this time of year, many are looking forward to…
At this time of year, many are looking forward to…
At this time of year, many are looking forward to the next twelve months. From the WSJ and the Economist to the FT, CNN and numerous consultancies,…
At this time of year, many are looking forward to the next twelve months. From the WSJ and the Economist to the FT, CNN and numerous consultancies, a host of organisations are suggesting how technology, economics, trade…
At this time of year, many are looking forward to the next twelve months. From the WSJ and the Economist to the FT, CNN and numerous consultancies, a host of organisations are suggesting how technology, economics, trade and politics may change and impact society. However, others keen…
Read moreCollaboration is Key: Insights on the Future of Autonomous Vehicles…
Collaboration is Key: Insights on the Future of Autonomous Vehicles from LA
The need for deeper cross-sector collaboration is seen to be…
The need for deeper cross-sector collaboration is seen to be…
The need for deeper cross-sector collaboration is seen to be more critical than further technology development to deliver the ambition…
The need for deeper cross-sector collaboration is seen to be more critical than further technology development to deliver the ambition for autonomous vehicles – This is according to a select…
The need for deeper cross-sector collaboration is seen to be more critical than further technology development to deliver the ambition for autonomous vehicles – This is according to a select group of experts in Los Angeles last week. The 2019…
Read moreDelivering Value Through Data
Delivering Value Through Data
Future Agenda is delighted to announce the launch of its…
Future Agenda is delighted to announce the launch of its…
Future Agenda is delighted to announce the launch of its most recent report, Delivering Value Through Data. Throughout 2018, we…
Future Agenda is delighted to announce the launch of its most recent report, Delivering Value Through Data. Throughout 2018, we canvassed the views of a wide range of 900 experts…
Future Agenda is delighted to announce the launch of its most recent report, Delivering Value Through Data. Throughout 2018, we canvassed the views of a wide range of 900 experts with different backgrounds and perspectives and asked for their perspective…
Read moreFive Future Retail Trends
Five Future Retail Trends
The pandemic has accelerated change across many sectors – and…
The pandemic has accelerated change across many sectors – and…
The pandemic has accelerated change across many sectors – and especially retail. More online, less physical and empty malls have…
The pandemic has accelerated change across many sectors – and especially retail. More online, less physical and empty malls have been evident globally. So what about the next ten years?…
The pandemic has accelerated change across many sectors – and especially retail. More online, less physical and empty malls have been evident globally. So what about the next ten years? What changes will continue to accelerate, which will rebalance, and…
Read moreForces in Mind Trust Research
Forces in Mind Trust Research
Forces in Mind Trust (FiMT) has appointed Future Agenda to…
Forces in Mind Trust (FiMT) has appointed Future Agenda to…
Forces in Mind Trust (FiMT) has appointed Future Agenda to conduct a research project on future trends and their impact…
Forces in Mind Trust (FiMT) has appointed Future Agenda to conduct a research project on future trends and their impact on the Armed Forces Community. The project entitled Future Trends…
Forces in Mind Trust (FiMT) has appointed Future Agenda to conduct a research project on future trends and their impact on the Armed Forces Community. The project entitled Future Trends – their impact on the Armed Forces Community in 2031…
Read moreFuture of Digital Identity Report Launch
Future of Digital Identity Report Launch
How we prove that we are who or what we…
How we prove that we are who or what we…
How we prove that we are who or what we say we are during digital transactions and interactions is set…
How we prove that we are who or what we say we are during digital transactions and interactions is set to become one of the defining features of the next…
How we prove that we are who or what we say we are during digital transactions and interactions is set to become one of the defining features of the next stage of the human digital transformation. Today, we are living…
Read moreFuture of Energy Infographic
Future of Energy Infographic
Insights on Energy Use and Future Ambitions in the Nordics.…
Insights on Energy Use and Future Ambitions in the Nordics.…
Insights on Energy Use and Future Ambitions in the Nordics. Following on from the recently shared insights on the Nordic…
Insights on Energy Use and Future Ambitions in the Nordics. Following on from the recently shared insights on the Nordic view on the future of energy, here is an infographic…
Insights on Energy Use and Future Ambitions in the Nordics. Following on from the recently shared insights on the Nordic view on the future of energy, here is an infographic that highlights some of the key points. It details the…
Read moreFuture of Energy – A Nordic View
Future of Energy – A Nordic View
As a leader in renewable energy, what is the future…
As a leader in renewable energy, what is the future…
As a leader in renewable energy, what is the future view for the Nordics? With the combined challenges of climate…
As a leader in renewable energy, what is the future view for the Nordics? With the combined challenges of climate change, air pollution and energy security, the opportunities from renewables…
As a leader in renewable energy, what is the future view for the Nordics? With the combined challenges of climate change, air pollution and energy security, the opportunities from renewables and electrification are top of many a national agenda. While…
Read moreFuture of the Company
Future of the Company
An updated perspective on the future of the company. This…
An updated perspective on the future of the company. This…
An updated perspective on the future of the company. This point of view builds on prior global dialogue on the social…
An updated perspective on the future of the company. This point of view builds on prior global dialogue on the social value of the organisation, the future of the company and…
An updated perspective on the future of the company. This point of view builds on prior global dialogue on the social value of the organisation, the future of the company and work plus recent debate on the value of data and…
Read moreFuture of Work
Future of Work
Visualising some of the main drivers of change for the…
Visualising some of the main drivers of change for the…
Visualising some of the main drivers of change for the future of work A new infographic supporting our recent point of view and accompanying presentation on…
Visualising some of the main drivers of change for the future of work A new infographic supporting our recent point of view and accompanying presentation on the topic highlighting some of the key shifts underway as…
Visualising some of the main drivers of change for the future of work A new infographic supporting our recent point of view and accompanying presentation on the topic highlighting some of the key shifts underway as well as the macro drivers of change for future skills,…
Read moreHospitals of the Future
Hospitals of the Future
Hospitals of the Future In partnership with, global engineering consultancy,…
Hospitals of the Future In partnership with, global engineering consultancy,…
Hospitals of the Future In partnership with, global engineering consultancy, Mott MacDonald, we are exploring how hospital design will change…
Hospitals of the Future In partnership with, global engineering consultancy, Mott MacDonald, we are exploring how hospital design will change in the next decade. Building on insights gained from multiple…
Hospitals of the Future In partnership with, global engineering consultancy, Mott MacDonald, we are exploring how hospital design will change in the next decade. Building on insights gained from multiple healthcare expert workshops around the world, this PDF is an…
Read moreInsights on Suicide Prevention
Insights on Suicide Prevention
Every 36 hours someone in the UK ends their life…
Every 36 hours someone in the UK ends their life…
Every 36 hours someone in the UK ends their life on the railway. Despite successes stemming from the industry suicide prevention…
Every 36 hours someone in the UK ends their life on the railway. Despite successes stemming from the industry suicide prevention team based at Network Rail, there is a growing fear…
Every 36 hours someone in the UK ends their life on the railway. Despite successes stemming from the industry suicide prevention team based at Network Rail, there is a growing fear that current thinking and prevention methods can only go so…
Read moreLasting Shifts in a Post Covid-19 Society
Lasting Shifts in a Post Covid-19 Society
As organisations variously react to a global pandemic that had…
As organisations variously react to a global pandemic that had…
As organisations variously react to a global pandemic that had been widely anticipated by experts, questions are now being raised…
As organisations variously react to a global pandemic that had been widely anticipated by experts, questions are now being raised around which of the many changes to the fabric of…
As organisations variously react to a global pandemic that had been widely anticipated by experts, questions are now being raised around which of the many changes to the fabric of our society might outlast the pandemic? Which existing global trends…
Read moreLifting Our Sights - Final Report Launch
Armed Forces veterans will face major challenges unless action is…
Armed Forces veterans will face major challenges unless action is…
Armed Forces veterans will face major challenges unless action is taken now Over the last 18 months we have been…
Armed Forces veterans will face major challenges unless action is taken now Over the last 18 months we have been working with Forces in Mind Trust to better understand the socio-economic…
Armed Forces veterans will face major challenges unless action is taken now Over the last 18 months we have been working with Forces in Mind Trust to better understand the socio-economic and social-political trends which may occur over the next decade…
Read moreBeyond 2030 – the impact of future trends on the…
Vital research into the impact of future trends on the…
Vital research into the impact of future trends on the…
Vital research into the impact of future trends on the Armed Forces Community A new paper has been published today…
Vital research into the impact of future trends on the Armed Forces Community A new paper has been published today by FiMT and Future Agenda. The “Lifting Our Sights: Beyond…
Vital research into the impact of future trends on the Armed Forces Community A new paper has been published today by FiMT and Future Agenda. The “Lifting Our Sights: Beyond 2030 – the impact of future trends on the transition…
Read moreThe perspective on the future Autonomous Vehicles from one of…
Tuesday 16th April 2019 We are very pleased to announce…
Tuesday 16th April 2019 We are very pleased to announce…
Tuesday 16th April 2019 We are very pleased to announce another workshop in partnership with the Lee Kuan Yew School of…
Tuesday 16th April 2019 We are very pleased to announce another workshop in partnership with the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore. On 7th June we will be exploring…
Tuesday 16th April 2019 We are very pleased to announce another workshop in partnership with the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore. On 7th June we will be exploring the future of autonomous vehicles - on land, sea and…
Read moreThe Future of Autonomous Vehicles
The Future of Autonomous Vehicles
The dream of self-driving vehicles has been a long time…
The dream of self-driving vehicles has been a long time…
The dream of self-driving vehicles has been a long time coming. It is however now within reach and the pressure…
The dream of self-driving vehicles has been a long time coming. It is however now within reach and the pressure is on to the deliver on the vision. With sustained…
The dream of self-driving vehicles has been a long time coming. It is however now within reach and the pressure is on to the deliver on the vision. With sustained technology development, increased investment and raising public awareness, there is…
Read moreThe Future of Autonomous Vehicles
The Future of Autonomous Vehicles
How, where and when will autonomous vehicles really have impact?…
How, where and when will autonomous vehicles really have impact?…
How, where and when will autonomous vehicles really have impact? With so much investment and tech development underway, many are…
How, where and when will autonomous vehicles really have impact? With so much investment and tech development underway, many are asking where, how and when will we see self-driving cars,…
How, where and when will autonomous vehicles really have impact? With so much investment and tech development underway, many are asking where, how and when will we see self-driving cars, buses and trucks on the streets in earnest? A host…
Read moreThe Future of Digital Identity
The Future of Digital Identity
A major new project kicks off with new point of…
A major new project kicks off with new point of…
A major new project kicks off with new point of view and workshops. Our interconnected digital world has started to…
A major new project kicks off with new point of view and workshops. Our interconnected digital world has started to make a mockery of traditional forms of identification. Being asked…
A major new project kicks off with new point of view and workshops. Our interconnected digital world has started to make a mockery of traditional forms of identification. Being asked to produce ‘two forms of ID; at least one from…
Read moreThe Future of Insurance
The Future of Insurance
The insurance sector is facing major change - from both…
The insurance sector is facing major change - from both…
The insurance sector is facing major change - from both within and outside. What will be the major shifts over…
The insurance sector is facing major change - from both within and outside. What will be the major shifts over the next decade that have greatest impact? As part of…
The insurance sector is facing major change - from both within and outside. What will be the major shifts over the next decade that have greatest impact? As part of the World in 2030 project, this is an initial view…
Read moreThe Future of Retail
The Future of Retail
As physical shopping around the world variously restarts post-lockdown, a…
As physical shopping around the world variously restarts post-lockdown, a…
As physical shopping around the world variously restarts post-lockdown, a number of organisations are, unsurprisingly, asking what the medium and…
As physical shopping around the world variously restarts post-lockdown, a number of organisations are, unsurprisingly, asking what the medium and long-term changes for the future of retail may be. While…
As physical shopping around the world variously restarts post-lockdown, a number of organisations are, unsurprisingly, asking what the medium and long-term changes for the future of retail may be. While digital shifts are still at the fore for many, others…
Read moreThe Future of Work and Skills Development
The Future of Work and Skills Development
Over the last few months we have been working closely…
Over the last few months we have been working closely…
Over the last few months we have been working closely with the University of Bristol, School of Management to develop…
Over the last few months we have been working closely with the University of Bristol, School of Management to develop an initial perspective on the Future of Work and Skills…
Over the last few months we have been working closely with the University of Bristol, School of Management to develop an initial perspective on the Future of Work and Skills Development. It marks the beginning of a programme, supported by…
Read moreThe World in 2030
The World in 2030
Although many eyes are set on possible developments for the…
Although many eyes are set on possible developments for the…
Although many eyes are set on possible developments for the next year, the Future Agenda team continue to explore key…
Although many eyes are set on possible developments for the next year, the Future Agenda team continue to explore key shifts for the next decade. As we share insights from…
Although many eyes are set on possible developments for the next year, the Future Agenda team continue to explore key shifts for the next decade. As we share insights from multiple expert discussions around the world, 2020 sees our next…
Read moreValue of Data Global Insights
Value of Data Global Insights
Top Views from 30 Expert Discussions Around the World This…
Top Views from 30 Expert Discussions Around the World This…
Top Views from 30 Expert Discussions Around the World This is a summary of some key insights on how different experts…
Top Views from 30 Expert Discussions Around the World This is a summary of some key insights on how different experts around the world see the future value of data. It…
Top Views from 30 Expert Discussions Around the World This is a summary of some key insights on how different experts around the world see the future value of data. It brings together the top 3 challenges, opportunities and emerging issues…
Read moreValue of Data Summary
Value of Data Summary
Throughout 2018 a series of 30 workshops were undertaken around…
Throughout 2018 a series of 30 workshops were undertaken around…
Throughout 2018 a series of 30 workshops were undertaken around the world exploring the key topic of the future value…
Throughout 2018 a series of 30 workshops were undertaken around the world exploring the key topic of the future value of data. Engaging with around 1000 experts in 25 countries,…
Throughout 2018 a series of 30 workshops were undertaken around the world exploring the key topic of the future value of data. Engaging with around 1000 experts in 25 countries, this major research project has looked at the key issues…
Read moreWorld’s Most Innovative Cities in 2050
World’s Most Innovative Cities in 2050
Cities are where innovation happens, where most ideas form and…
Cities are where innovation happens, where most ideas form and…
Cities are where innovation happens, where most ideas form and economic growth largely stems. For centuries, the world’s most innovative…
Cities are where innovation happens, where most ideas form and economic growth largely stems. For centuries, the world’s most innovative cities have been acting as global catalysts for change, and…
Cities are where innovation happens, where most ideas form and economic growth largely stems. For centuries, the world’s most innovative cities have been acting as global catalysts for change, and will continue to do so. As more cities seek to…
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