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Affordable Healthcare (2025)
The escalating cost of healthcare is further stressed by the…
Read moreTitle: Caring For Those Left Behind (2025)
Author: Future Agenda | https://www.futureagenda.org
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https://www.futureagenda.org/foresights/caring-for-those-left-behind
Although significant progress has been made positive change has limited reach. Millions of people continue to be left behind from mainstream progress – especially the young, the poor and those who are disadvantaged.
Progress has always been a pretty bumpy journey; the next ten years looks as if little will be done to improve the ride. Although for some, access to better medicine, education and employment will be transformational; for others, life will just get worse. It may also feel worse as the chasm between the haves and the have-nots is widening, and some expect that it will become progressively difficult for anyone to hear the voices of those left behind.
Consider the plight of the children who stay in the countryside while their parents head to the city. In China, where over 270 million people have left their villages to look for work, they are named liushou ertong, or left-behind children. According to the All-China Women’s Federation, there are around 61m of them, only 10 million less that the total child population of the US. China is not the only country whose children suffer as a result of urbanisation; but given the one child policy, and its enormously distorted sex ratio, this mass abandonment may fundamentally alter an entire generation.
Not that there is a significant “urban advantage” for the poor living in informal townships; UN Habitat estimates that one in six people in the world live in deprivation in urban slums and squatter settlements. Given the demographics of poor countries and communities, with their relatively high numbers of children, we can estimate that one out of every four children in the world currently lives in urban poverty. As more people migrate, the chances are this number will grow. Slum children’s lives are frequently challenged from the get-go. Their parents are often unable to register their birth, limiting their access to basic services, like education and health. Reliant on the informal economy, many poor urban households are also obliged to push their children into labour.
On the surface, things look a bit better in the countryside, but not by much. In many cases farming productivity is pretty woeful; in India, roughly half the population, 600 million people, depend upon growing crops or rearing animals to survive. Volatile prices, poor access to markets, out-dated regulation, limited access to finance and stringent land ownership rules – all combine to make it almost impossible for many to earn a reasonable wage. Low productivity is a bigger long-term problem. One cause of this is the shrinking size of cultivated plots; as India’s population expands, the average plot size has fallen from nearly 2.3 hectares (5.7 acres) in 1970 to under 1.2 hectares today. Oxfam states that 216 million people – a quarter of rural India’s population – live below the poverty line.
Read more216 Million
A quarter of rural India’s population live below the poverty line.
61 Million
Number of left-behind children in China
From
The World In 2025